Donald Trump is slowly growing as the favorite to win the upcoming presidential election. [Image: Shutterstock.com]
President Donald Trump’s odds of winning
The race to become the 47th president in the history of the United States has begun, and according to the betting odds, former President Donald Trump is the favorite.
BetUS Sports gives Trump -140 odds to become the second president ever and the first since Grover Cleveland in 1892 to serve non-consecutive terms. President Biden is the +200 underdog, followed by Michelle Obama (+700), California Governor Gavin Newsom (+1000), Vice President Kamala Harris (+1600), and former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley.
Implied probability 58.33%
Trump’s odds of -140 equal an implied probability of 58.33%. Biden, the next closest, has an implied probability of 33.33%.
Controversy at the top
Trump has been a divisive figure from the moment he entered the presidential race in 2015. After once receiving less than 1% support, he defied the odds and replaced Barack Obama in the White House in January 2017.
Trump’s tenure has matched his personality and been filled with controversy, whether it was his handling of foreign policy, his laissez-faire approach to Covid, or his role in the Jan. 6 riot at the Capitol.
Trump, who defeated Hillary Clinton in 2016 by 306 electoral votes to 232 but received about 3 million fewer overall votes, was ousted by Joe Biden in 2021 despite many voters feeling he was not the ideal president. Instead, they voted him into office under an “anyone but Trump” approach.
As resistance to Trump begins to wane and questions grow about Biden’s mental standing, many anti-Trump voters are beginning to resign themselves to reality.
“It’s definitely crisis fatigue.”
“It kind of ended up being a crisis,” said Shannon Casper, a security guard in Pittsburgh. The New York Times. “It’s crisis fatigue, for sure.”
White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre announced last week that President Biden will not undergo a cognitive test during his upcoming medical examination. Although she cited statements from Biden’s doctor that suggested his daily duties and job requirements were evidence of his mental condition, many saw it as another sign that he was unfit to continue in office.
Russian President Vladimir Putin also said last week that he would prefer Biden to continue as US president, which sparked mixed statements.
Candidates and opinions
As Trump prepares to reclaim his seat on Pennsylvania Avenue, he must first repay $355 million owed as a result of the fraud trial ruling.
New York Judge Arthur Engoron issued the fine to Trump, his company and business partners, after convicting him of inflating the value of his assets to obtain favorable bank loans. He was also banned from doing business in New York for three years. Trump plans to resume the ban.
Polling firm FiveThirtyEight found that only 39.4% of Americans approve of the work done by Biden, while 55.9% disapprove. This is lower at this point in his term than his seven immediate predecessors, including Trump (43% approval) and three Democrats, Obama (48.2%), Bill Clinton (48.9%), and Jimmy Carter (56.5%).
“Terrified” about the outcome of the upcoming elections
Despite finishing third in the mix, Michelle Obama has not announced her candidacy for president. The closest she came to it was sharing that she was “terrified” about the outcome of the upcoming election during a podcast released on January 8.
Newsom said he has “sub-zero interest” in running for president despite entering the spotlight after battles with the governors of Texas and Florida.
Haley, the first woman of color to run for president from the Republican Party, has entered the presidential race. She said on Sunday that she believes she or Vice President Harris will be president in 2025.
Other notable names on the list of candidates receiving betting odds include 2016 runner-up Hillary Clinton (+10,000), right-wing political commentator Tucker Carlson (+25,000), and Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson (+25,000), among many others. .
